North Korea and the Non-proliferation Regime

Reiss, Mitchell B. (2009) North Korea and the Non-proliferation Regime. Elcano Newsletter (61). 5 p.. ISSN 1698-5184

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Abstract

In this review of the implications of North Korea’s behaviour during 2009 on the Non-proliferation Regime, it is stressed that if North Korea cannot be deterred from its nuclear ambitions this will deliver a serious blow to the international non-proliferation regime. It will also damage the likelihood of a successful outcome at next year’s NPT Review Conference. The behaviour of North Korea so far, and especially during 2009, can be summarised as follows: failed satellite test in April, nuclear test in May, missile tests in July and additional tests of short-range missiles in October. This seems to imply that North Korea has now made its strategic choice between conciliation and hostility and that Pyongyang believes that its future security could be better preserved by maintaining a robust nuclear weapons programme. The implications of a nuclear North Korea range from diverse strategic concerns to serious humanitarian issues, while the US is faced with a number of different options, including engagement, deterrence, military pre-emption and regime change. However, all of these options have serious limitations and none promises to achieve the goal of a non-nuclear North Korea anytime soon.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: Estudio sólo disponible en inglés
Uncontrolled Keywords: Seguridad y Defensa / Asia-Pacífico
Subjects: INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION > INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS > NUCLEAR WEAPONS.
INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION > INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS > DEFENCE POLICY.
INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION > INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS > INTERNATIONAL POLITICS.
INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION > INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS > NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION...
INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION > COUNTRIES AND REGIONS > KOREA DPR
CULTURE; SOCIETY > SOCIETY > CONFLICTS
Divisions: Real Instituto Elcano, RIE
Depositing User: Jorge Horcas Pulido
Date Deposited: 21 Mar 2012 09:51
Last Modified: 21 Mar 2012 09:51
URI: http://biblioteca.ribei.org/id/eprint/1722

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